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Published on: July 3, 2020
An instrumental variable random-coefficients model for binary outcomes
Andrew Chesher1, Adam M Rosen1
1Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies 7 Ridgmount Street, London, WC1E 7AE, UK ; Department of Economics, University College London Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, UK.
This study introduces a new random-coefficients model for binary outcomes, addressing endogeneity by allowing arbitrary correlations. It uses instrumental variables to identify the model, offering a flexible approach for analyzing complex data relationships.
Area of Science:
- Econometrics
- Statistics
- Binary Outcome Models
Background:
- Endogeneity is a common challenge in econometrics, particularly in models with binary outcomes.
- Traditional methods like control functions require strong assumptions on the joint distribution of endogenous variables and instruments.
- Random-coefficients models offer flexibility but often face identification issues when endogeneity is present.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and analyze a random-coefficients model for binary outcomes that accommodates arbitrary endogeneity.
- To extend generalized instrumental variable (GIV) methods to address endogeneity in this specific model class.
- To characterize the identified set for the distribution of random coefficients under endogeneity.
Main Methods:
- The study employs a generalized instrumental variable (GIV) framework.
- It utilizes conditional moment inequalities to define the identified set for the random coefficients.
- Identification results from prior GIV studies are adapted and applied.
Main Results:
- The paper characterizes the identified set for the distribution of random coefficients in the presence of endogeneity.
- It demonstrates the applicability of GIV identification results to this model.
- Numerical illustrations are provided to explore the structure of the identified sets.
Conclusions:
- The proposed GIV approach provides a robust method for analyzing binary outcome models with endogeneity.
- The characterization of the identified set offers valuable insights into the model's estimability.
- This work contributes to the literature on identification and estimation in econometric models with complex error structures.
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