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Updated: Apr 15, 2026

Differential Effects of Lipid-lowering Drugs in Modulating Morphology of Cholesterol Particles
Published on: November 10, 2017
Clinical benefit from pharmacological elevation of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol: meta-regression analysis
F Hourcade-Potelleret1, S Laporte2, V Lehnert1
1F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd., Basel, Switzerland.
Insights
Cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors may not reduce coronary heart disease risk, as high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels did not correlate with clinical outcomes. HDL-C may not be a reliable marker for cardiovascular events.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Pharmacology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Epidemiological studies link higher high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) to lower coronary heart disease (CHD) risk.
- This association prompted clinical trials of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate alternative methods for predicting clinical response to CETP inhibitors.
- To investigate the relationship between HDL-C changes and clinical outcomes in patients treated with HDL-C-raising drugs.
Main Methods:
- A meta-regression analysis was performed on data from randomized controlled trials of HDL-C-raising drugs (statins, fibrates, niacin).
- The analysis included 51 trials with 167,311 patients, focusing on secondary prevention with follow-up exceeding one year.
Main Results:
- No significant association was found between HDL-C changes and the risk of clinical endpoints (myocardial infarction or cardiac death).
- CETP inhibitor data aligned with this finding (RR: 1.03).
- Associations varied by drug class; statins and niacin showed a relationship, but it disappeared after adjusting for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol or excluding open trials.
Conclusions:
- CETP inhibitors may not significantly impact coronary risk.
- The relationship between HDL-C levels and clinical events appears drug-dependent, limiting HDL-C's utility as a surrogate marker.
- Alternative markers of HDL function may be more clinically relevant for predicting cardiovascular events.
Context:
Epidemiological evidence that the risk of coronary heart disease is inversely associated with the level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) has motivated several phase III programmes with cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors.
Objectives:
To assess alternative methods to predict clinical response of CETP inhibitors.
Methods:
Meta-regression analysis on raising HDL-C drugs (statins, fibrates, niacin) in randomised controlled trials.
Results:
51 trials in secondary prevention with a total of 167,311 patients for a follow-up >1 year where HDL-C was measured at baseline and during treatment. The meta-regression analysis showed no significant association between change in HDL-C (treatment vs comparator) and log risk ratio (RR) of clinical endpoint (non-fatal myocardial infarction or cardiac death). CETP inhibitors data are consistent with this finding (RR: 1.03; P5-P95: 0.99-1.21). A prespecified sensitivity analysis by drug class suggested that the strength of relationship might differ between pharmacological groups. A significant association for both statins (p<0.02, log RR=-0.169-0.0499*HDL-C change, R(2)=0.21) and niacin (p=0.02, log RR=1.07-0.185*HDL-C change, R(2)=0.61) but not fibrates (p=0.18, log RR=-0.367+0.077*HDL-C change, R(2)=0.40) was shown. However, the association was no longer detectable after adjustment for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol for statins or exclusion of open trials for niacin.
Conclusions:
Meta-regression suggested that CETP inhibitors might not influence coronary risk. The relation between change in HDL-C level and clinical endpoint may be drug dependent, which limits the use of HDL-C as a surrogate marker of coronary events. Other markers of HDL function may be more relevant.
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