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Updated: Apr 14, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Elevated relapse rates in pediatric compared to adult MS persist for at least 6 years
L A Benson1, B C Healy2, M P Gorman3
1Partners Pediatric Multiple Sclerosis Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Partners Multiple Sclerosis Center, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 1 Brookline Place, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Neurology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Insights
Pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) patients experience higher relapse rates than adult-onset multiple sclerosis (AOMS) patients for the first six years. However, disability progression, measured by expanded disability status scale (EDSS), did not differ between groups.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Immunology
- Pediatrics
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune disease affecting the central nervous system.
- Pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) represents a distinct subset with unique clinical characteristics.
- Understanding early disease activity is crucial for effective management and treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare relapse rates in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) versus adult-onset multiple sclerosis (AOMS) over the initial six years of disease.
- To investigate the relationship between relapse activity and disability progression in early POMS.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 84 POMS and 258 AOMS patients with relapsing-remitting disease.
- Annualized relapse rates (ARR) and expanded disability status scale (EDSS) scores were compared yearly for six years post-onset.
- Poisson regression was used to analyze relapse rates, adjusting for demographic factors.
Main Results:
- POMS patients exhibited significantly higher ARR compared to AOMS patients in most of the first six years.
- Despite a 2.30 times higher relapse rate over six years, EDSS scores did not differ significantly between POMS and AOMS groups.
- Early relapse activity (years 1-5) did not predict year 5 disability in POMS patients.
Conclusions:
- Higher relapse rates in POMS are sustained over six years, suggesting a more inflammatory disease course.
- A potential disconnect exists between early relapse frequency and disability accumulation in POMS, as measured by EDSS.
- These findings have implications for designing future clinical trials and therapeutic strategies for pediatric multiple sclerosis.
Objective:
To compare relapse rates in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) and adult-onset multiple sclerosis (AOMS) over the first 6-years of disease.
Methods:
Patients with relapsing-remitting disease onset were identified from the Partners Pediatric MS Center, Massachusetts General Hospital and Partners MS Center, Brigham and Women's Hospital. 84 POMS and 258 AOMS patients were included. Annualized relapse rates (ARR) for each individual year from year 1 to year 6, after first attack were compared using Poisson regression, as was expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score at the visit closest to each year interval.
Results:
ARR was significantly higher in POMS compared to AOMS at individual years (except year 4), and was not significantly affected by adjustment for gender, race and proportion of time on treatment. Despite a 2.30 times higher relapse rate over 6-years, EDSS between groups did not differ. ARR in years 1-5 did not impact year 5 disability measured by EDSS in POMS.
Conclusions:
Our findings demonstrate that higher ARR in POMS relative to AOMS is sustained over 6-years, suggesting a more inflammatory nature and potential disconnect between relapses and disability measured by EDSS early in POMS. This data may be useful when designing clinical trials for POMS.
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