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Cumulants of Hawkes point processes
Stojan Jovanović1, John Hertz2, Stefan Rotter3
1Bernstein Center Freiburg & Faculty of Biology, University of Freiburg, 79104 Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany and KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden.
Abstract:
We derive explicit, closed-form expressions for the cumulant densities of a multivariate, self-exciting Hawkes point process, generalizing a result of Hawkes in his earlier work on the covariance density and Bartlett spectrum of such processes. To do this, we represent the Hawkes process in terms of a Poisson cluster process and show how the cumulant density formulas can be derived by enumerating all possible "family trees," representing complex interactions between point events. We also consider the problem of computing the integrated cumulants, characterizing the average measure of correlated activity between events of different types, and derive the relevant equations.
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