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Updated: Apr 12, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Risk stratification and outcomes of women undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer
Sonali Patankar1, William M Burke2, June Y Hou2
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, USA.
Objective:
Cytoreduction for ovarian cancer is associated with substantial morbidity. We examined the outcome of patients undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer to determine if there are sub-groups of patients who may benefit from alternative treatments.
Methods:
The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to identify women who underwent surgery for ovarian cancer from 2005-2012. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine the effect of age, race, functional status, ASA class, preoperative albumin and performance of extended cytoreductive procedures on morbidity, mortality and resource utilization.
Results:
A total of 2870 women were identified. The perioperative complication rate increased from 9.5% in women <50years, to 13.4% in those age 60-69years, and 14.6% in women ≥70years (P<0.0001). Similarly, complications rose from 7.3% in those who did not require any extended procedures to 12.9% after 1 procedure, 28.4% for those who had 2, and 30.0% in women who underwent ≥3 extended procedures (P<0.0001). In a series of multivariable models, the number of extended cytoreductive procedures performed and preoperative albumin were the factors most consistently associated with morbidity. Using a series of model fit statistics, compared to chance alone, the ability to predict any complication increased by 27.4% when procedure score was analyzed, 22.0% with preoperative albumin, 11% with age, and 4% with functional status.
Conclusions:
While preoperative clinical and demographic factors may help predict the risk of adverse outcomes for women undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer, performance of extended cytoreductive procedures is the strongest risk factor for complications.
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