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Upper midwest climate variations: farmer responses to excess water risks.

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    Farmers adapt to increased precipitation and soil saturation by using practices like no-till and cover crops. Localized climate data and experiences significantly influence these adaptive management strategies for soil and water conservation.

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    Area of Science:

    • Agricultural Science
    • Environmental Science
    • Climate Science

    Background:

    • Persistent above-average precipitation and runoff increase sediment, soil, and nutrient loss from farmlands.
    • The US Upper Midwest faces a 37% precipitation increase (1958-2012), causing crop damage and resource degradation.
    • Farmer adaptive management is crucial for mitigating crop losses and improving soil and water resources.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To model how geophysical context, weather, on-farm experiences, and risk perceptions influence farmer management practices.
    • To understand farmer adaptation strategies in response to changing climate conditions in the US Upper Midwest.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a farmer survey (n=4778) and climate data (1971-2011).
    • Modeled influences of precipitation, soil saturation, land characteristics, and market access on management adoption.
    • Analyzed regional and localized climate variations and their association with farmer practices.

    Main Results:

    • Increased warm-season precipitation correlated positively with no-till, drainage, and planting on highly erodible land (HEL).
    • Experience with saturated soils led to increased drainage use but decreased adoption of no-till, cover crops, and HEL planting.
    • Farmers in areas with marginal soils and those selling corn through multiple markets were more likely to adopt conservation practices like cover crops and planting on HEL.

    Conclusions:

    • Farmer adoption of adaptive management practices is influenced by a combination of regional climate, localized experiences, and land characteristics.
    • Perceived and actual on-farm climate experiences are more influential than broad regional climate data for adaptation.
    • Downscaled, localized climate information can enhance the effectiveness of specific farmer adaptation strategies for soil and water conservation.