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Published on: January 17, 2013
Early Therapy Intensity Level (TIL) Predicts Mortality in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage
Wendy C Ziai1, Aazim A Siddiqui, Natalie Ullman
1Division of Neurosciences Critical Care, Departments of Neurology, Anesthesiology/Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, 600 Wolf Street/Phipps 455, Baltimore, MD, 21287, USA, weziai@jhmi.edu.
Background:
Outcome from spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) may depend on patient-care variability. We developed as ICH-specific therapy intensity level (TIL) metric using evidence-based elements in a high severity sICH cohort.
Methods:
This is a cohort study of 170 patients with sICH and any intraventricular hemorrhage treated in 2 academic neuroICUs. Pre-defined quality indicators were identified based on current guidelines, scientific evidence, and likelihood of care documentation in first 72 h of hospital admission. We assessed performance on each indicator and association with discharge mortality. Significant indicators were aggregated to develop a TIL score. The predictive validity of the best fit TIL score was tested with threefold cross-validation of multivariate logistic regression models of in-hospital survival and good outcome (modified Rankin score 0-3).
Results:
Median ICH score was 3; discharge mortality was 51.2%. Five/19 tested variables were significantly associated with lower discharge mortality: no DNR/withdrawal of treatment within 24 h of admission, target glucose within 4 h of high glucose, no recurrent hyperpyrexia, clinical reversal of herniation/intracranial pressure >20 mmHg within 60 min of detection, and reversal of INR (<1.4) within 2 h of first elevation. One point was given for each or if not applicable. Median TIL score was significantly higher in survivors versus non-survivors (5[1] vs. 3[1]; P < 0.001). A 4-point aggregated TIL score was most predictive of discharge survival (area under receiving operating characteristic curve 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and good outcome (AUC 0.84) and was an independent predictor of both (survival: OR 7.10; 95% CI 3.57-14.11; P < 0.001; good outcome: OR 3.10; 95% CI 1.06-8.79; P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
A simplified TIL score using evidenced-based patient-care parameters within first 3 days of admission after sICH was significantly associated with early mortality and good outcome. The next step is prospective validation of the simplified TIL score in a large clinical trial.
