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Development of a forensically useful age prediction method based on DNA methylation analysis.
Renata Zbieć-Piekarska1, Magdalena Spólnicka1, Tomasz Kupiec2
1Central Forensic Laboratory of the Police, Warsaw, Poland.
Forensic Science International. Genetics
|June 1, 2015
Summary
Forensic DNA analysis can now predict age using DNA methylation markers. This study developed a reliable model with high accuracy, implemented in a free online calculator for forensic applications.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Science
- Genetics
- Epigenetics
Background:
- Forensic DNA phenotyping requires age prediction for comprehensive human appearance profiling.
- Advances in methylome analysis identify age-correlated DNA methylation loci.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate DNA methylation markers for accurate age prediction in forensic science.
- To develop and test a robust age prediction model using selected CpG sites.
Main Methods:
- Analyzed eight DNA methylation candidate loci across 41 CpG sites in 420 individuals (ages 2-75).
- Utilized pyrosequencing technology for reliable and convenient analysis.
- Developed a prediction model using the five most significant CpG sites (ELOVL2, C1orf132, TRIM59, KLF14, FHL2).
Main Results:
- Confirmed age correlation for all investigated markers.
- The prediction model achieved R(2)=0.94 and a standard error of 4.5 years on a discovery set.
- Independent testing showed a mean absolute deviation of 3.9 years, with 86.7% accuracy within ±5 years for ages 2-19.
Conclusions:
- The developed DNA methylation-based age prediction model is accurate and reliable for forensic applications.
- The model demonstrates high predictive power, especially for younger age categories.
- A freely available online calculator was created to implement the developed age prediction method.

