Percentage change in body mass index or gestational weight gain: Which is a better predictor of foetal macrosomia?

I Kahyaoglu1, T Kınay1, F Kayıkcıoglu1

  • 1a Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology , Etlik Zubeyde Hanım Women's Health Teaching and Research Hospital , Ankara , Turkey.

The aim of the study was to evaluate gestational weight gain (GWG) and percentage change in body mass index (BMI) for prediction of foetal macrosomia. A total of 409 term pregnant women, of whom 86 delivered macrosomic infants (> 4000 g) and 323 delivered non-macrosomic infants were recruited for the study. GWG and body mass index at delivery were significantly higher in the macrosomic than non-macrosomic group (15.8 ± 5.6 vs 13.9 ± 5.6, and 31.4 ± 4.3 vs 29.5 ± 4.3, respectively) (p < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for testing the significance of weight gain in prediction of macrosomia showed an area under curve of 0.58 (p = 0.012, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.52-0.65), and significance of percentage change in BMI in prediction of macrosomia revealed an area under curve of 0.52 (p = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.46-0.59). BMI percentage changes both in obese (BMI ≥ 25) and non-obese (BMI < 25) groups were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). BMI percentage change does not seem to be a strong predictor of foetal macrosomia, and GWG was not found to be an independent risk factor after multivariate regression analysis was performed.

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