Molecular mechanism matters: Benefits of mechanistic computational models for drug development

Making drug development a more efficient and cost-effective process will have a transformative effect on human health. A key, yet underutilized, tool to aid in this transformation is mechanistic computational modeling. By incorporating decades of hard-won prior knowledge of molecular interactions, cellular signaling, and cellular behavior, mechanistic models can achieve a level of predictiveness that is not feasible using solely empirical characterization of drug pharmacodynamics. These models can integrate diverse types of data from cell culture and animal experiments, including high-throughput systems biology experiments, and translate the results into the context of human disease. This provides a framework for identification of new drug targets, measurable biomarkers for drug action in target tissues, and patient populations for which a drug is likely to be effective or ineffective. Additionally, mechanistic models are valuable in virtual screening of new therapeutic strategies, such as gene or cell therapy and tissue regeneration, identifying the key requirements for these approaches to succeed in a heterogeneous patient population. These capabilities, which are distinct from and complementary to those of existing drug development strategies, demonstrate the opportunity to improve success rates in the drug development pipeline through the use of mechanistic computational models.