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Association Between Older Age and Increasing Gleason Score
Vinayak Muralidhar1, David R Ziehr2, Brandon A Mahal2
1Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Older men are more likely to have high-grade prostate cancer. Discussing prostate cancer screening risks and benefits with older men should consider this increased probability of aggressive disease.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Urology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Prostate cancer screening discussions for older men involve weighing risks and benefits.
- Determining if advanced age correlates with a higher likelihood of high-grade or high-risk prostate cancer is crucial for informed decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between advanced age and the probability of harboring high-grade or high-risk prostate cancer.
- To analyze trends in high-grade/high-risk prostate cancer diagnosis in older men before and after major screening trial publications.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to analyze 383,039 men diagnosed with prostate cancer between 2004 and 2011.
- Calculated the prevalence of low-, intermediate-, and high-risk disease, and Gleason scores by age group.
- Conducted a secondary analysis comparing data from 2010-2011 with 2007-2008.
Main Results:
- A significant increase in the probability of Gleason score 8-10 or high-risk prostate cancer was observed with advancing age.
- For men aged 80-84, the percentage of Gleason score 8-10 disease was 28.5% and high-risk disease was 38.7%, compared to 8.9% and 14.3% for men aged 50-54 (P < .001).
- Older men showed a significant increase in the relative probability of high-risk or high-grade disease between 2007-2008 and 2010-2011.
Conclusions:
- Older men exhibit a substantially higher probability of being diagnosed with high-grade or high-risk prostate cancer.
- Healthcare providers and patients should consider the elevated risk of aggressive disease in older men when discussing prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening.
- Informed discussions about PSA screening for healthy older men with significant life expectancy must account for the increased likelihood of advanced prostate cancer.
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