Expert systems survey on biodegradation of xenobiotic chemicals

To determine the feasibility of developing an expert system for biodegradability assessment, a survey was conducted in which biodegradation experts were asked to estimate rates and products of degradation for 50 chemicals. These chemicals, which varied widely in structure, were considered representative of the spectrum of premanufacture notice chemicals subject to EPA review under the Toxic Substances Control Act. There was substantial agreement among the 22 experts on both sites of initial attack and rates of degradation. The approximate order in which various groups were viewed as contributing to aerobic biodegradability is as follows: ester, amide, anhydride greater than hydroxyl greater than carboxyl, epoxide, site of unsaturation greater than benzene ring, methyl, methylene. Hydrolyzable groups, azo bonds, halogens, and nitro groups were preferred sites of anaerobic attack. Among the negative influences on aerobic biodegradability were molecular mass, branching, halogenation, and nitrogen heterocycles. Results also indicate that estimates of removal by biodegradation in aerobic wastewater treatment and time for aerobic ultimate and primary degradation were well correlated, and that the predictive value of such correlations could be improved using correction factors for certain classes of chemicals. The results lend support to existing rules of thumb, but also offer additional insight that will prove useful in designing a prototype system.