Development of an algorithm to identify serious opioid toxicity in children
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Published on: April 23, 2019
Cecilia P Chung1, S Todd Callahan2, William O Cooper3,4
1Division of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, T-3113 MCN, 1161 21st Ave. S., Nashville, TN, 37232, USA. c.chung@vanderbilt.edu.
Insights
Developing an algorithm to identify pediatric opioid toxicity using administrative data is crucial. This study created a method combining ICD-9 codes and medical record review to accurately detect cases in children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Health
- Public Health Surveillance
- Pharmacovigilance
Background:
- Opioid use is rising in children, posing a significant public health risk.
- Existing administrative databases lack a validated algorithm for identifying pediatric opioid toxicity.
- This study addresses the need for a reliable method to detect opioid toxicity in pediatric populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate an algorithm for identifying pediatric opioid toxicity using administrative healthcare databases.
- To improve the accuracy of case ascertainment for opioid toxicity in children.
Main Methods:
- Literature review and analysis of de-identified computer profiles to select International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9 CM) codes indicative of serious opioid toxicity.
- Identification of potential cases in children enrolled in Tennessee Medicaid based on selected codes.
- Independent physician review of medical records, with adjudication for equivocal cases, to confirm or exclude opioid toxicity.
Main Results:
- Out of 195 potential cases, 85 were confirmed as opioid toxicity (50.6% overall positive predictive value).
- The algorithm demonstrated higher positive predictive values for unintentional overdose (80.7%) and intentional overdose (50.0%).
- A significant proportion of confirmed cases (65.8%) were linked to therapeutic opioid use.
Conclusions:
- The developed algorithm, utilizing a broad set of screening codes and medical record review, is effective for identifying pediatric opioid toxicity.
- This approach enhances the completeness and accuracy of case ascertainment in administrative claims data.
- Findings are crucial for future research on the incidence and impact of opioid toxicity in children.
Background:
The use of opioids is increasing in children; therefore, opioid toxicity could be a public health problem in this vulnerable population. However, we are not aware of a published algorithm to identify cases of opioid toxicity in children using administrative databases. We sought to develop an algorithm to identify them. After review of literature and de-identified computer profiles, a broad set of ICD-9 CM codes consistent with serious opioid toxicity was selected. Based on these codes, we identified 195 potential cases of opioid toxicity in children enrolled in Tennessee Medicaid. Medical records were independently reviewed by two physicians; episodes considered equivocal were reviewed by an adjudication committee. Cases were adjudicated as Group 1 (definite/probable), Group 2 (possible), or Group 3 (excluded).
Results:
Of the 195 potential cases, 168 (86.2%) had complete records for review and 85 were confirmed cases. The overall positive predictive value (PPV) for all codes was 50.6%. The PPV for codes indicating: unintentional opioid overdose (25/31) was 80.7%; intentional opioid overdose (15/30) was 50.0%, adverse events (33/58) was 56.9%, the presence of signs or symptoms compatible with opioid toxicity (12/47) was 25.5%, and no cases were confirmed in records from the two deaths. Of the confirmed cases, 65.8% were related to therapeutic opioid use.
Conclusion:
For studies utilizing administrative claims to quantify incidence of opioid toxicity in children, our findings suggest that use of a broad set of screening codes coupled with medical record review is important to increase the completeness of case ascertainment.
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