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Voodoo Correlations Are Everywhere-Not Only in Neuroscience
1Department of Psychology, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany kf@psychologie.uni-heidelberg.de.
Researchers often inflate effect sizes in studies by selecting optimal parameters, which can obscure genuine validity. A shift towards prioritizing scientific scrutiny over exaggerated findings is crucial for robust research.
Area of Science:
- Psychological Science
- Neuroscience
- Research Methodology
Background:
- A methodological issue of inflated correlations between brain measures and behavioral criteria has been identified, particularly when selecting specific measurement points (voxels).
- This problem, initially highlighted in neuroscience research, is a symptom of a broader issue within paradigmatic research.
- Paradigms are conventional setups that can lead to idealized and inflated effect sizes by optimizing various research components.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify the broader methodological problem underlying inflated effect sizes in paradigmatic research.
- To discuss the implications of selecting specific research parameters for empirical phenomena visibility and stability.
- To propose a reorientation of research practices towards genuine validity and scientific scrutiny.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of existing research practices within paradigmatic research frameworks.
- Examination of how various components (e.g., stimuli, variables, parameters) are selected to enhance effect sizes.
- Critique of the focus on maximizing effect size visibility in current research.
Main Results:
- The problem of inflated correlations is not limited to neuroscience but is a pervasive issue in all paradigmatic research.
- Researchers systematically select numerous components, including voxels, stimuli, and variables, to maximize the visibility and stability of empirical phenomena.
- This selection process results in idealized, inflated effects that may not reflect true validity.
Conclusions:
- Paradigmatic research conventionally optimizes for strong effect sizes, potentially at the expense of genuine validity.
- A viable remedy involves reorienting research from maximizing effect visibility to prioritizing scientific scrutiny and genuine validity.
- This shift is essential for advancing robust and reliable scientific understanding across disciplines.
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