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Replications in Psychology Research: How Often Do They Really Occur?
Matthew C Makel1, Jonathan A Plucker2, Boyd Hegarty3
1Duke University mmakel@tip.duke.edu.
Replication in psychological science is rare, appearing in only 1.07% of publications. However, most psychological replications are successful, and their publication rate is increasing.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Scientific Research
Background:
- Recent controversies highlight concerns about the quality and nature of psychological research.
- The role and frequency of replication in psychological science have become a significant focus of discussion.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide an overview of replication studies in psychological research published since 1900.
- To determine the rate of replication within psychology and assess the success of these replications.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the complete publication history of the top 100 psychology journals by 5-year impact factor.
- Detailed examination of 500 randomly selected articles to verify the nature of replication studies.
Main Results:
- Approximately 1.6% of all psychology publications used the term "replication."
- Actual replication studies constituted only 1.07% of all publications.
- The majority of identified replications reported findings consistent with original studies (successful replications).
- Replications without author overlap were less likely to be successful.
- The publication rate of replications has shown an upward trend in recent decades, despite systemic biases.
Conclusions:
- While replication is infrequent in psychological science, the majority of published replications are successful.
- Author overlap influences replication success.
- The increasing trend in replication publication suggests a growing emphasis on research reproducibility in psychology.
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