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Mehran contrast nephropathy risk score: Is it still useful 10 years later?
R A Abellás-Sequeiros1, S Raposeiras-Roubín1, E Abu-Assi1
1Department of Cardiology and Coronary Care Unit, University Clinical Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
Insights
The Mehran risk score effectively predicts contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in Spanish acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients undergoing angiography. This validation supports its use for identifying at-risk individuals and optimizing preventive therapies.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a significant cause of hospital-acquired acute kidney injury.
- CIN increases morbidity, mortality, healthcare costs, and hospital stays.
- Risk stratification scores, like the Mehran score, can help identify patients susceptible to CIN.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the predictive accuracy of the Mehran risk score for CIN.
- To assess the Mehran score in a contemporary Spanish cohort of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1520 ACS patients undergoing coronary angiography between 2008 and 2012 was analyzed.
- Patients on chronic dialysis or lacking contrast volume data were excluded.
- Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test; discriminatory capacity was evaluated by C-statistic.
Main Results:
- 118 patients (7.8%) developed CIN, exhibiting higher rates of diabetes, hypertension, worse renal function, and anemia.
- The Mehran score demonstrated excellent calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.7) and discrimination (C-statistic >0.8).
- Odds ratios for score components were comparable to Mehran's original population, with minor variations in diabetes, hypotension, and intra-aortic balloon pump rates.
Conclusions:
- The Mehran risk score is validated as a reliable tool for predicting CIN in ACS patients undergoing coronary angiography.
- Clinical implementation of the Mehran score is recommended for identifying high-risk patients.
- Optimizing prophylactic CIN therapy based on Mehran score risk stratification is advised prior to and after catheterization.
Background:
Nowadays, contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is the third cause of acquired acute renal impairment in hospital. CIN is related to increased in-hospital morbidity, mortality, costs of medical care, and long admissions. Because of this, we hypothesized it would be useful to determine the risk of CIN with scores such as the Mehran score. The aim of this study was to validate the Mehran score in a contemporary cohort of Spanish patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Methods:
We assessed the calibration and discriminatory capacity of Mehran score to predict CIN in a cohort of 1520 patients with a definitive diagnosis of ACS and who underwent coronary angiography between March 2008 and June 2012. We excluded patients on chronic dialysis and those without data of contrast volume. The calibration of the model was assessed with the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and discriminatory capacity was assessed by C-statistic, which is equivalent to the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve.
Results:
From the total group, 118 patients (7.8%) developed CIN. They were older, with higher rates of diabetes (DM) and hypertension and worse renal function and anemia (p<0.001). The odds ratios for different score components in Mehran's population versus our study were similar except for DM, hypotension, and intra-aortic balloon pump (1.6%, 2.68%, 2.55% vs 0.9%, 1.89%, and 2.86%, respectively). Calibration and discriminatory capacity of Mehran score were excellent with a Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.7, C-statistic value >0.8.
Conclusions:
Mehran risk score has been validated in our study as a good score for predicting CIN in patients with ACS who underwent coronary angiography. According to this, we support its use in patients hospitalized for ACS in order to identify the ones at risk, and to optimize CIN prophylactic therapy prior to and after catheterization.
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