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Residential mobility during adolescence: Do even "upward" moves predict dropout risk?
Molly W Metzger1, Patrick J Fowler1, Courtney Lauren Anderson2
1George Warren Brown School of Social Work, Washington University in St. Louis, Campus Box 1196, One Brookings Drive, St. Louis, MO 63130, United States.
Social Science Research
|July 20, 2015
Summary
Housing instability during adolescence significantly reduces high school graduation rates. Experiencing even one move in 12 months decreases graduation likelihood by 50%, impacting educational attainment.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Education Policy
- Public Health
Background:
- Housing instability is a growing concern affecting adolescent development.
- Educational attainment is a critical factor for long-term socioeconomic outcomes.
- Previous research has not fully elucidated the direct impact of residential changes on high school completion.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the relationship between housing instability in adolescence and high school graduation.
- To quantify the effect of residential moves on the likelihood of obtaining a high school diploma.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health.
- Combined census data, self-reports, and residential change information.
- Employed statistical models to predict high school graduation based on housing mobility and neighborhood quality.
Main Results:
- Adolescents experiencing at least one residential move within a 12-month period showed a 50% decreased likelihood of graduating high school by age 25.
- This association persisted irrespective of neighborhood quality changes (i.e., moving to poorer or less-poor areas).
- Key predictors of housing mobility were controlled for in the analysis.
Conclusions:
- Housing instability, even a single move, poses a significant risk to adolescent educational attainment.
- Findings underscore the need for stable housing environments to support academic success.
- Results inform the development of housing policies and interventions for vulnerable populations.
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