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Are multiple primary outcomes analysed appropriately in randomised controlled trials? A review
Victoria Vickerstaff1, Gareth Ambler2, Michael King3
1Division of Psychiatry, University College London, 6th Floor, Maple House, 149 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 7NF, UK; Department of Statistical Science, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK; The Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, Rowland Hill Street, London NW3 2PF, UK.
Many randomized controlled trials (RCTs) use multiple primary outcomes but often fail to adjust for multiplicity. This can impact trial conclusions, highlighting the need for clear reporting and appropriate statistical methods in clinical research.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials Methodology
- Biostatistics
- Medical Research Integrity
Background:
- Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently employ multiple primary outcomes to assess various treatment effects.
- The statistical implications of analyzing multiple outcomes without appropriate adjustments for multiplicity are often overlooked.
- Neurology and psychiatry are disease areas where the use of multiple primary outcomes in RCTs is prevalent.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the current practices in analyzing randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with multiple primary outcomes.
- To identify the methods used to safeguard inferences when multiple primary outcomes are present.
- To raise awareness regarding potential issues arising from the analysis of multiple outcomes in clinical trials.
Main Methods:
- A systematic review of RCTs published between July 2011 and June 2014 in high-impact medical journals.
- Focus on neurology and psychiatry RCTs due to their frequent use of multiple outcomes.
- Data extraction included the number of primary outcomes, multiplicity adjustment methods, and sample size calculation details.
Main Results:
- Out of 209 reviewed RCTs, 60 (29%) utilized multiple primary outcomes.
- A significant majority (75%) of these trials did not adjust for multiplicity in their statistical analyses.
- Bonferroni's correction was the most common method (used in 25% of trials that did account for multiplicity).
Conclusions:
- The use of multiple primary outcomes in RCTs is common in clinical research.
- Inappropriate statistical analysis, specifically the lack of multiplicity adjustment, is widespread.
- Clear articulation of primary outcomes and justification of analytical methods are crucial for authors conducting and reporting RCTs.
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