Recurrence in patients with stage I colorectal cancer

Outcomes of patients with stage I colorectal cancer submitted to surgery with curative intent have not been thoroughly explored in contemporary series.

All patients with colon or rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent resection from the St John of God Hospital (1996-2013) and BioGrid (1991-2013) databases were identified. Patients submitted to local excision, polypectomies or neoadjuvant treatment were excluded. Outcomes included recurrence (combined local and systemic), recurrence-free and overall survival, and survival after recurrence.

A total of 1193 patients with stage I disease were included. Median age was 67 (interquartile range 59-75) and median follow-up was 3.2 years (interquartile range 1.4-5.8). Five-year recurrence rate was 7.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 5.4-9.4%; 5.0% for colon and 11.1% for rectal cancer). Rectal location was an independent predictor of recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 1.97, 95% CI 1.09-3.55; P = 0.024). Lymphovascular invasion was an independent predictor of recurrence only in patients with rectal cancer (HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.2-7.6; P = 0.018). Five-year recurrence-free survival was 83.2% (95% CI 80.3-85.4%). Age (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07; P < 0.001), elective surgery (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.21-0.80; P = 0.011) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.51-6.31; P < 0.001) were independently associated with recurrence-free survival. Median survival after recurrence was 41 months. Resection of recurrence was attempted in 39% of patients.

Patients with stage I colorectal cancers still have a clinically significant risk of recurrence. Rectal location is independently associated with higher recurrence. Age, elective surgery and ASA are independently associated with recurrence-free survival. A significant proportion of patients with recurrence underwent further resection.