[Forecasting health personnel needs on the basis of long-term developmental trends in relation to the standardized...

The author compares the results of prognostic work conducted with the help of a demographic model of personnel based on the long-term development of the age structure of workers or on assumptions in the plan and add gradually revealed quantified factors which influence the numbers and the structure of workers, with results obtained by calculation of norms of workers for the network of health institutions. The author evaluates the possibilities and applicability of the two approaches.