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Updated: Apr 5, 2026

A Machine Learning Approach to Design an Efficient Selective Screening of Mild Cognitive Impairment
Published on: January 11, 2020
Multimorbidity and Risk of Mild Cognitive Impairment
Maria Vassilaki1,2, Jeremiah A Aakre2, Ruth H Cha2
1Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Objectives:
To determine the association between multiple chronic conditions and risk of incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia.
Design:
Prospective cohort study.
Setting:
Olmsted County, Minnesota.
Participants:
Cognitively normal individuals (N = 2,176) enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA).
Measurements:
Participants were randomly selected from the community, evaluated by a physician, and underwent neuropsychometric testing at baseline and at 15-month intervals to assess diagnoses of MCI and dementia. Information on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes for chronic conditions in the 5 years before enrollment was electronically captured using the Rochester Epidemiology Project medical records linkage system. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more chronic conditions, and the association between multimorbidity and MCI and dementia was examined using Cox proportional hazards models.
Results:
Of 2,176 cognitively normal participants (mean age ± standard deviation 78.5 ± 5.2; 50.6% male), 1,884 (86.6%) had multimorbidity. The risk of MCI or dementia was higher in persons with multimorbidity (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.38, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-1.82) than in those with one or no chronic condition. The HR was of greater magnitude in persons with four or more conditions (HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.21-2.13) than in those with two or three conditions (HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.76-1.39) and for men with multimorbidity(HR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.01-2.31) than for women with multimorbidity (HR = 1.20, 95% CI = 0.83-1.74), compared to those with one or no chronic condition.
Conclusion:
In older adults, having multiple chronic conditions is associated with greater risk of MCI and dementia. This is consistent with the hypothesis that multiple etiologies may contribute to MCI and late-life dementia. Preventing chronic diseases may be beneficial in delaying or preventing MCI and dementia.
Insights
Having multiple chronic conditions significantly increases the risk of developing mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia in older adults. Preventing chronic diseases may help delay or prevent cognitive decline.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Multiple chronic conditions, or multimorbidity, are prevalent in aging populations.
- The relationship between multimorbidity and cognitive decline, specifically mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia, requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the association between multiple chronic conditions and the risk of incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 2,176 cognitively normal individuals from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging.
- Electronic health records were used to identify chronic conditions. Multimorbidity was defined as two or more chronic conditions.
- Cox proportional hazards models were employed to analyze the association between multimorbidity and MCI/dementia risk.
Main Results:
- 86.6% of participants had multimorbidity.
- Multimorbidity was associated with a higher risk of MCI or dementia (HR = 1.38).
- The risk was greater with four or more conditions (HR = 1.61) and in men with multimorbidity (HR = 1.53).
Conclusions:
- Multiple chronic conditions are linked to an increased risk of MCI and dementia in older adults.
- This suggests that multiple underlying etiologies may contribute to cognitive decline.
- Preventing chronic diseases could be a strategy to delay or prevent MCI and dementia.
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