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Published on: February 26, 2013
Risk of incident atrial fibrillation in gout: a cohort study
Seoyoung C Kim1, Jun Liu2, Daniel H Solomon1
1Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA Division of Rheumatology, Immunology and Allergy, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Insights
Gout patients have a modestly increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). This study found a higher incidence of AF in gout patients compared to those with osteoarthritis or no gout.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Rheumatology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia linked to cardiovascular disease and mortality.
- Emerging evidence suggests a connection between inflammation, hyperuricemia, and AF.
- The specific risk of AF in patients with gout remains largely unexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between gout and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation.
- To compare AF risk in patients with gout versus osteoarthritis.
- To evaluate AF risk in gout patients compared to a non-gout population.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study utilizing US commercial insurance data from 2004-2013.
- Identified patients with gout or osteoarthritis based on diagnoses and medication use.
- Defined incident AF by new diagnosis and new medication dispensing; compared AF risk across groups.
Main Results:
- The study included 70,015 patients with gout and 210,045 with osteoarthritis.
- Gout patients showed a higher incidence rate of AF (7.19 per 1000 person-years) compared to osteoarthritis patients (5.87).
- Gout was associated with a modestly increased risk of incident AF (HR 1.13-1.21) after adjusting for confounders.
Conclusions:
- Gout is associated with a modestly increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation.
- This association persists after accounting for other cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities.
- Findings highlight a potential link between gout and AF, warranting further investigation.
Objective:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality. Recent studies suggest an association between inflammation, hyperuricaemia and AF, but little is known whether gout is associated with AF risk.
Methods:
Using data from a US commercial insurance plan (2004-2013), we conducted a cohort study to evaluate the risk of incident AF in patients with gout versus osteoarthritis. Patients with gout or osteoarthritis were identified with ≥2 diagnoses and ≥1 dispensing for gout or osteoarthritis medications. Incident AF was defined as a new AF diagnosis and a new dispensing for anticoagulants or antiarrhythmics. The risk of incident AF in gout was also compared with the non-gout group.
Results:
We identified 70 015 patients with gout and 210 045 with osteoarthritis, matched on age, sex and index date. The mean age was 57 years, and 81% were men. Over the mean 2-year follow-up, the incidence rate of AF per 1000 person-years was 7.19 in gout and 5.87 in osteoarthritis. The age, sex and index date-matched HR of AF was 1.23 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.32) in gout versus osteoarthritis. In a multivariable Cox regression, adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities, medications and healthcare usage, the HR of AF in gout was 1.13 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.23). When compared with non-gout, the multivariable HR of AF in gout was also increased (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.33).
Conclusions:
In this large population-based cohort study, gout was associated with a modestly increased risk of incident AF compared with osteoarthritis and non-gout after adjusting for other risk factors.
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