Truly low and high thromboembolic risk - impact of risk scores in real life

Tomasz Ciurus1, Sebastian Sobczak1, Małgorzata Lelonek1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Chair of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, Medical University of Lodz, Poland.

Insights

The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores effectively identify thromboembolic and bleeding risks in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients. Women may have higher bleeding risk but use less antiplatelet therapy.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Internal Medicine
  • Pharmacology

Background:

  • Anticoagulation therapy is guided by risk stratification scores like CHA2DS2-VASc and bleeding risk assessment using HAS-BLED.
  • Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) management requires accurate risk assessment for thromboembolic events.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the real-world effectiveness of risk stratification scores in nonvalvular AF patients.
  • To assess the predictive accuracy of CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED in a clinical setting.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 68 nonvalvular AF patients who initiated anticoagulation.
  • Stratification based on CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, including gender analysis.
  • Warfarin treatment for high thromboembolic risk patients, considering patient preference.

Main Results:

  • 90% of patients were identified as high thromboembolic risk. CHA2DS2-VASc identified patients who were younger, had less hypertension, and lower HAS-BLED scores compared to CHADS2 ≥ 2.
  • Women showed a higher incidence of ischemic stroke but less coronary artery disease.
  • Bleeding occurred in 13% of patients on warfarin; no thromboembolic complications were recorded.

Conclusions:

  • CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores reliably identify low and high thromboembolic risk and bleeding risk in nonvalvular AF.
  • Women may face a higher bleeding risk, potentially linked to less frequent antiplatelet therapy use.
Abstract

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