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Truly low and high thromboembolic risk - impact of risk scores in real life
Tomasz Ciurus1, Sebastian Sobczak1, Małgorzata Lelonek1
1Department of Cardiology, Chair of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, Medical University of Lodz, Poland.
Insights
The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores effectively identify thromboembolic and bleeding risks in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients. Women may have higher bleeding risk but use less antiplatelet therapy.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Internal Medicine
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Anticoagulation therapy is guided by risk stratification scores like CHA2DS2-VASc and bleeding risk assessment using HAS-BLED.
- Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) management requires accurate risk assessment for thromboembolic events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the real-world effectiveness of risk stratification scores in nonvalvular AF patients.
- To assess the predictive accuracy of CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED in a clinical setting.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 68 nonvalvular AF patients who initiated anticoagulation.
- Stratification based on CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, including gender analysis.
- Warfarin treatment for high thromboembolic risk patients, considering patient preference.
Main Results:
- 90% of patients were identified as high thromboembolic risk. CHA2DS2-VASc identified patients who were younger, had less hypertension, and lower HAS-BLED scores compared to CHADS2 ≥ 2.
- Women showed a higher incidence of ischemic stroke but less coronary artery disease.
- Bleeding occurred in 13% of patients on warfarin; no thromboembolic complications were recorded.
Conclusions:
- CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores reliably identify low and high thromboembolic risk and bleeding risk in nonvalvular AF.
- Women may face a higher bleeding risk, potentially linked to less frequent antiplatelet therapy use.
Background:
Anticoagulation therapy is followed by analysis of factors used in the CHA2DS2-VASc score and assessing the risk of bleeding (HAS-BLED).
The Aim Of The Study:
The aim of the study was to evaluate in 'real life' risk stratification scores in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF).
Material And Methods:
From 81 consecutive patients who had not yet received anticoagulation, 68 were finally enrolled after exclusion criteria. Patients were analyzed related to risk scores: CHADS2 ≥ 2 (group I) vs. CHADS2 < 2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 (group II) and gender. Patients at high thromboembolic risk were treated with warfarin, after consideration of the patient's decision.
Results:
At high risk of thromboembolic complications were 61 patients (90%). In 26 subjects (43%, 15 women - 57%) indication for anticoagulation was established by CHA2DS2-VASc. When compared to CHADS2 ≥ 2, these patients were younger (72 ±10 years vs. 63 ±10 years, p = 0.0002), less frequently burdened with arterial hypertension (p = 0.03) and had lower risk in HAS-BLED (1.23 ±0.65 vs. 0.81 ±0.49, p = 0.03). Seven patients (10%) did not require anticoagulation (CHA2DS2-VASc = 0). Compared to men, women more often had ischemic stroke (2 vs. 18%, p = 0.03), but less coronary artery disease (58 vs. 25%, p = 0.005). During 18 months on warfarin, bleeding occurred in 9 patients (13%, 6 women). On dual antiplatelet therapy were 11 patients (16%). No thromboembolic complications were recorded.
Conclusions:
CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED schemata easily identify real low and high thromboembolic risk patients and bleeding risk. It seems that women present higher risk of bleeding, but less frequent use of antiplatelet therapy.
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