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Mixed and Complex Mixed Migration during Armed Conflict: Multidimensional Empirical Evidence from Nepal
1Department of Sociology and Jackson School of International Studies at the University of Washington.
Summary
Migration is rarely purely forced or voluntary, especially during conflict. This study introduces the complex mixed migration hypothesis, finding that non-conflict factors influence migration differently during armed conflict, impacting population dynamics.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Demography
- Political Science
Background:
- Historically, migration was viewed as a dichotomy of forced versus voluntary.
- Recent discussions acknowledge a continuum, suggesting mixed migration is common, even during conflict.
- Empirical evidence for mixed migration hypotheses remains limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide a theoretical and causal pathway for mixed migration.
- To propose and empirically test the complex mixed migration hypothesis.
- To analyze migration patterns during the Nepal armed conflict.
Main Methods:
- Development of the complex mixed migration hypothesis.
- Empirical testing using detailed survey data from Nepal.
- Application of event history models to analyze migration data.
Main Results:
- Strong empirical evidence supports both the mixed migration hypothesis and the complex mixed migration hypothesis.
- Non-conflict factors influence migration differently during armed conflict compared to peacetime.
- Migration during conflict has significant implications for population growth and change.
Conclusions:
- Migration is a complex phenomenon, often a mix of compulsion and volition.
- Armed conflict significantly alters migration drivers and patterns.
- Findings have substantial relevance for academic research and policy-making on population dynamics.
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