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Published on: September 30, 2020
Discharge destination after acute hospitalization strongly predicts three month disability outcome in ischemic stroke
Qihui Zhang1, Ying Yang2, Jeffrey L Saver3
1Department of Neurology, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine Subsidiary Dongfang Hospital, Beijing, China.
Insights
Discharge destination after acute stroke strongly predicts final disability at three months. This administrative data offers a valuable, powerful outcome measure for stroke quality improvement programs.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Trials
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Final global disability at three months post-stroke is a key outcome in clinical trials.
- Discharge destination from acute hospitalization is a readily available administrative proxy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive value of discharge destination for three-month global disability.
- To assess if discharge destination can serve as a valid outcome measure.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the NINDS-TPA trials (N=624 ischemic stroke patients).
- Characterized discharge destination as a four-level ordinal variable.
- Employed correlation coefficients and logistic regression to analyze the relationship with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS).
Main Results:
- Discharge destinations included home (42.1%), rehabilitation (33.0%), skilled nursing facility (9.8%), and in-hospital death (12.4%).
- A strong correlation (r=0.71, P<0.001) was found between discharge destination and 3-month mRS.
- Discharge destination emerged as the strongest independent predictor of 3-month global disability in logistic regression models.
Conclusions:
- Discharge destination is a powerful predictor of three-month global disability outcomes following acute stroke.
- It represents a valid and useful outcome measure for quality improvement initiatives in stroke care.
Purpose:
Final global disability 3 months post-stroke is the cardinal endpoint in acute stroke clinical trials. The most similar variable available in administrative datasets is discharge destination at end of the acute hospitalization. We investigated the predictive value of discharge destination for final global disability.
Methods:
In the public dataset of the two NINDS-TPA trials, we characterized discharge destination as a 4 level ordinal variable. Correlation coefficients and logistic models probed the relation with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of global disability at 3 months.
Results:
Among the 624 ischemic stroke patients, discharge destination was home in 42.1% , rehabilitation in 33.0% , skilled nursing facility in 9.8% , and in hospital-death in 12.4% . A strong correlation was noted between hospital discharge destination and 3 month mRS, r = 0.71, P < 0.001. Length of stay showed a weaker correlation with 3 month mRS, r = 0.29, p < 0.0001. A multiple logistic regression model identified 4 categories of independent predictors of 3 month global disability outcome, with discharge destination as the strongest independent variable.
Conclusions:
Discharge destination is a powerful predictor of final 3 month global disability outcomes and a valid outcome measure for use in local and national quality improvement programs.
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