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Prognostic indicators of secondary progression in a paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cohort in Kuwait

Saeed Akhtar1, Raed Alroughani2, Samar F Ahmed3

  • 1Department of Community Medicine and Behavioural Sciences, University of Kuwait, Kuwait saeed.akhtar@hsc.edu.kw.

Multiple Sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)
|October 11, 2015
PubMed

Insights

Paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) in the Middle East is more common than previously thought. Brainstem involvement and older age at onset increase the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) in these young patients.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Epidemiology
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • Paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) and its secondary progression risk are understudied in the Middle East.
  • This study addresses the knowledge gap regarding POMS frequency and SPMS risk in the region.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the frequency of POMS in the Middle East.
  • To identify prognostic factors for the development of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) in POMS patients.

Main Methods:

  • A cross-sectional cohort study utilizing the Kuwait National MS Registry (1994-2013).
  • Identified 127 POMS cases (diagnosed <18 years) from 808 MS patients.
  • Employed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to analyze prognostic factors.

Main Results:

  • POMS accounted for 15.7% of MS cases, with a median onset age of 16.0 years.
  • 15.8% of POMS patients progressed to SPMS.
  • Brainstem involvement (aHR 5.71) and older age at onset (aHR 1.38) significantly predicted SPMS development.

Conclusions:

  • POMS patients with brainstem/cerebellar involvement and higher age at onset are predisposed to SPMS.
  • These findings suggest a need for aggressive therapeutic strategies in high-risk POMS individuals.
Abstract

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