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Pediatric Orthopaedic Workforce in 2014: Current Workforce and Projections for the Future
Jeffrey R Sawyer1, Kerwyn C Jones, Lawson A Copley
1*Department of Orthopaedic Surgery & Biomedical Engineering, University of Tennessee-Campbell Clinic, Memphis, TN †Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Akron Children's Hospital §Akron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH ‡Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, TX.
The supply of pediatric orthopaedic surgeons has increased, potentially balancing the number of experienced surgeons retiring soon. Future demand is expected to remain stable, with continued expansion in the scope of practice for these specialists.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Orthopaedic Surgery
- Workforce Analysis
Background:
- The US healthcare system's evolution sparks debate on physician supply, particularly for surgeons.
- Key questions address current surgeon adequacy and future training numbers to meet demand.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the current pediatric orthopaedic workforce.
- To assess present and future supply and demand dynamics for pediatric orthopaedic surgeons.
Main Methods:
- Searched databases (POSNA, SF Match, KID, MGMA) for workforce and demand data.
- Utilized Level II economic and decision analysis.
Main Results:
- Active Pediatric Orthopaedic Society of North America (POSNA) members increased by 155% (1993-2014), correlating with population density.
- Pediatric discharge numbers remained stable (1997-2012).
- Graduating pediatric orthopaedic fellows increased by 29% (2003-2013), peaking in 2009.
Conclusions:
- Increased POS supply may offset upcoming retirements.
- Macroeconomic factors suggest stable future demand for physician services.
- Continued expansion in the scope of practice for pediatric orthopaedic surgeons is anticipated.
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