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Published on: August 8, 2022
Predictors of Long-Term Outcome in Children with Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy
Lidia Ziółkowska1, Anna Turska-Kmieć2, Joanna Petryka3
1Department of Pediatric Cardiology, The Children's Memorial Health Institute, Al. Dzieci Polskich 20, 04-730, Warsaw, Poland. l.ziolkowska@czd.pl.
Insights
Predicting outcomes in pediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is crucial. Prior cardiac arrest, QTc dispersion, and NSVT predict arrhythmic events, while LA size, LV posterior wall thickness, and reduced transmitral flow predict heart failure in children with HCM.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pediatric Cardiology
- Genetics
Background:
- Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in children has limited data on predicting progression to end-stage heart failure (HF) or sudden cardiac death (SCD).
- Understanding long-term outcomes and risk factors is essential for timely intervention and management in pediatric HCM patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events in children diagnosed with HCM.
- To differentiate risk factors for arrhythmic events versus heart failure progression in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 112 children with HCM (median age 14.1 years) was followed for a median of 6.5 years.
- Outcomes assessed included a composite primary end point, secondary arrhythmic end points (cardiac arrest, ICD discharge, SCD), and secondary HF end points (HF death, transplant).
- Multivariate analysis was used to determine independent predictors for each outcome category.
Main Results:
- Overall, 21% of patients reached the composite primary end point, with a 10-year event-free survival rate of 76%.
- Independent predictors for arrhythmic events included prior cardiac arrest, QTc dispersion, and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT).
- Independent predictors for HF events included left atrial (LA) size, left ventricular (LV) posterior wall thickness, and decreased early transmitral flow velocity.
Conclusions:
- Risk factors for SCD and HF-related death differ significantly in pediatric HCM.
- Prior cardiac arrest, QTc dispersion, and NSVT are key predictors of arrhythmic events in children with HCM.
- LA size, LV posterior wall thickness, and impaired diastolic function predict HF progression in pediatric HCM.
Abstract:
To date limited data are available to predict the progression to end-stage heart failure (HF) with subsequent death (non-SCD), need for heart transplantation, or sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). We aimed to determine predictors of long-term outcome in children with HCM. A total of 112 children (median 14.1, IQR 7.8-16.6 years) were followed up for the median of 6.5 years for the development of morbidity and mortality, including arrhythmic and HF-related secondary end points. HF end point included HF-related death or heart transplant, and arrhythmic end point included resuscitated cardiac arrest, appropriate ICD discharge, or SCD. Overall, 23 (21 %) patients reached the pre-defined composite primary end point. At 10-year follow-up, the event-free survival rate was 76 %. Thirteen patients (12 %) reached the secondary arrhythmic end point, and 10 patients (9 %) reached the secondary HF end point. In multivariate model, prior cardiac arrest (r = 0.658), QTc dispersion (r = 0.262), and NSVT (r = 0.217) were independent predictors of the arrhythmic secondary end point, while HF (r = 0.440), LV posterior wall thickness (r = 0.258), LA size (r = 0.389), and decreased early transmitral flow velocity (r = 0.202) were all independent predictors of the secondary HF end point. There are differences in the risk factors for SCD and for HF-related death in childhood HCM. Only prior cardiac arrest, QTc dispersion, and NSVT predicted arrhythmic outcome in patients aged <18 years. LA size, LV posterior wall thickness, and decreased early transmitral flow velocity were strong independent predictors of HF-related events.
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