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Published on: April 17, 2021
Potential economic consequences of a cardioprotective agent for patients with myocardial infarction: modelling study
Talitha I Verhoef1, Stephen Morris1, Anthony Mathur2
1Department of Applied Health Research, University College London, London, UK.
Insights
A new cardioprotective agent could be cost-effective for reducing heart failure and mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Its cost-effectiveness depends on the agent
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Health Economics
- Interventional Cardiology
Background:
- Anterior ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) often requires percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
- Reducing infarct size and subsequent heart failure (HF) post-PCI is a clinical priority.
- The cost-effectiveness of cardioprotective agents for STEMI patients undergoing PCI is not fully established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical cardioprotective agent for reducing infarct size in STEMI patients undergoing PCI.
- To assess the potential impact of such an agent on heart failure and mortality rates.
- To determine the incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained.
Main Methods:
- A cost-utility analysis was performed using a Markov model.
- The analysis was set within the UK National Health Service.
- Simulations considered a cardioprotective agent administered during reperfusion versus no intervention, with varying costs (£1000-4000).
Main Results:
- Incremental costs ranged from £933 to £3820, with incremental QALYs from 0.04 to 0.38.
- The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) varied widely, from £3311 to £63,480 per QALY gained.
- Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to agent cost, patient age, and HF risk reduction; 71% of simulations fell below the £20,000/QALY threshold.
Conclusions:
- A cardioprotective agent reducing HF and mortality post-PCI shows high potential for cost-effectiveness.
- The economic viability is contingent upon the agent's price, patient demographics, and its efficacy in mitigating HF risk.
- Further economic evaluations are warranted based on specific agent characteristics and target populations.
Objective:
To investigate the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical cardioprotective agent used to reduce infarct size in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) after anterior ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Design:
A cost-utility analysis using a Markov model.
Setting:
The National Health Service in the UK.
Patients:
Patients undergoing PCI after anterior ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Interventions:
A cardioprotective agent given at the time of reperfusion compared to no cardioprotection. We assumed the cardioprotective agent (given at the time of reperfusion) would reduce the risk and severity of heart failure (HF) after PCI and the risk of mortality after PCI (with a relative risk ranging from 0.6 to 1). The costs of the cardioprotective agent were assumed to be in the range £1000-4000.
Main Outcome Measures:
The incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, using 95% CIs from 1000 simulations.
Results:
Incremental costs ranged from £933 to £3820 and incremental QALYs from 0.04 to 0.38. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) ranged from £3311 to £63 480 per QALY gained. The results were highly dependent on the costs of a cardioprotective agent, patient age, and the relative risk of HF after PCI. The ICER was below the willingness-to-pay threshold of £20 000 per QALY gained in 71% of the simulations.
Conclusions:
A cardioprotective agent that can reduce the risk of HF and mortality after PCI has a high chance of being cost-effective. This chance depends on the price of the agent, the age of the patient and the relative risk of HF after PCI.
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