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Prostate Cancer Incidence and PSA Testing Patterns in Relation to USPSTF Screening Recommendations
Ahmedin Jemal1, Stacey A Fedewa1, Jiemin Ma1
1Surveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia.
JAMA
|November 18, 2015
Summary
Prostate cancer incidence and screening rates declined following US recommendations against PSA screening. Declines were most significant after the 2012 guideline change, particularly for early-stage disease.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) issued recommendations in 2008 and 2012 advising against prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening for prostate cancer.
- Previous data indicated a decrease in prostate cancer incidence among men aged 75 and older after the 2008 recommendation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate changes in stage-specific prostate cancer incidence and PSA screening rates after the 2008 and 2012 USPSTF recommendations.
- To analyze trends in prostate cancer diagnosis and screening behavior among men aged 50 and older.
Main Methods:
- An ecologic study analyzed age-standardized prostate cancer incidence data from 2005-2012 using 18 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries.
- National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data from 2005, 2008, 2010, and 2013 were used to assess PSA screening rates in men aged 50 and older without a prior prostate cancer diagnosis.
Main Results:
- Prostate cancer incidence in men aged 50 and older decreased from 2008, with the largest drop observed between 2011 and 2012 (498.3 to 416.2 per 100,000).
- This decline was primarily in local/regional-stage disease and occurred across various age and racial groups.
- PSA screening rates among men aged 50 and older decreased by 18% between 2010 and 2013, following an initial 10% increase between 2005 and 2008.
Conclusions:
- Both early-stage prostate cancer incidence and PSA screening rates have decreased, coinciding with the 2012 USPSTF recommendation against routine screening.
- Further research is necessary to determine if these observed decreases are associated with future trends in prostate cancer mortality.

