Respiratory syncytial virus activity and climate parameters during a 12-year period

Natalia Sirimi1, Michael Miligkos1, Foteini Koutouzi1

  • 1Division of Infectious Diseases, First Department of Pediatrics, University of Athens, Athens, Greece.

Journal of Medical Virology
|November 18, 2015
PubMed

Insights

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasonality in Greece is linked to climate. Lower temperatures and higher humidity correlate with increased RSV activity, particularly in infants under one year old.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Environmental Health

Background:

  • Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of respiratory tract infections in children globally.
  • The epidemic patterns and seasonality of RSV are not fully understood, hindering effective prevention strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the epidemic pattern of RSV infection in Greece over a 12-year period.
  • To correlate RSV seasonality with meteorological factors like temperature and humidity.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study of hospitalized children (0-14 years) tested for RSV from 2002-2013.
  • Analysis of daily temperature and humidity data from the Hellenic National Meteorological Service.
  • Statistical correlation and multivariable analysis of RSV incidence with climate parameters.

Main Results:

  • 27% of tested children were RSV positive, with 95.8% being infants under 1 year.
  • RSV season typically ran from December to April, peaking from January to March.
  • Significant positive correlation between RSV activity and relative humidity (rho=0.66), and negative correlation with temperature (rho=-0.81).
  • Multivariable analysis confirmed mean monthly temperature as the only statistically significant factor (IRR=0.72).

Conclusions:

  • RSV seasonality in Greece is influenced by climate, with cooler, more humid conditions favoring higher incidence.
  • Understanding these patterns is crucial for implementing timely immunoprophylaxis and developing future vaccines.
  • Further research into RSV seasonality across diverse geographic regions is recommended.

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