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Simple indicators for projecting short-term dental market fluctuations
Journal of the American Dental Association (1939)
|November 28, 2015
Summary
Predicting dental market fluctuations is now easier. Personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product can serve as leading indicators for short-term changes in dental care spending.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Market Analysis
Background:
- Dental care expenditures in the U.S. have historically shown fluctuations.
- Predicting short-term market changes in dental care is challenging.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop simple, accessible indicators for predicting short-term dental market fluctuations.
- To identify reliable leading indicators for dental care expenditures.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 30 variables from 1980-2012 for correlation with dental care expenditures.
- Lagging potential predictive factors to assess their forecasting ability.
Main Results:
- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) were identified as a leading indicator.
- Gross domestic product (GDP) also emerged as a valid leading indicator for dental market fluctuations.
Conclusions:
- PCE and GDP are simple, readily available indicators for predicting short-term dental market shifts.
- These indicators can help dental practitioners anticipate and plan for market changes.
- Regular monitoring of these indicators is recommended to ensure their continued validity.
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