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Maximum Likelihood Phylogenetic Inference is Consistent on Multiple Sequence Alignments, with or without Gaps.

Jakub Truszkowski1, Nick Goldman2

  • 1European Molecular Biology Laboratory, European Bioinformatics Institute Wellcome Genome Campus, Hinxton, CB10 1SD, UK; Cancer Research UK Cambridge Institute, University of Cambridge Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 0RE, UK jakubt@ebi.ac.uk.

Systematic Biology
|November 29, 2015
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Maximum likelihood phylogenetic inference is statistically consistent for gapped alignments. This method accurately recovers evolutionary trees, even with missing data, refuting prior suggestions of inconsistency.

Keywords:
Kullback–Leibler divergencemaximum likelihoodmissing datamultiple sequence alignmentphylogeny

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Biology
  • Phylogenetics
  • Bioinformatics

Background:

  • Phylogenetic inference aims to reconstruct evolutionary history.
  • Maximum likelihood (ML) is a common method for phylogenetic inference.
  • The statistical consistency of ML with gapped alignments has been debated.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the statistical consistency of maximum likelihood phylogenetic inference on gapped multiple sequence alignments (MSAs).
  • To address concerns about the potential inconsistency of ML when gaps are treated as missing data.
  • To provide a rigorous mathematical proof for the consistency of ML in phylogenetics.

Main Methods:

  • Mathematical proof of consistency for gapped MSAs under specific assumptions.
  • Analysis of asymptotic behavior of maximum likelihood estimation.
  • Derivation of a new proof for the consistency of ML on ungapped alignments.

Main Results:

  • Maximum likelihood phylogenetic inference is statistically consistent on gapped MSAs when substitution rates are positive.
  • ML asymptotically recovers the true tree with edge lengths reflecting the mean number of substitutions per site.
  • The study refutes the suggestion that ML is inconsistent with gapped data when gaps are treated as missing.

Conclusions:

  • Maximum likelihood is a statistically sound method for phylogenetic inference, even with gapped alignments.
  • The findings validate the use of ML in reconstructing evolutionary relationships from sequence data.
  • This work clarifies theoretical underpinnings of phylogenetic methods in bioinformatics.