Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Concept Videos

Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

29.7K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
29.7K
What is Climate?01:16

What is Climate?

21.4K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
21.4K
Uncertainty: Overview00:59

Uncertainty: Overview

1.9K
In analytical chemistry, we often perform repetitive measurements to detect and minimize inaccuracies caused by both determinate and indeterminate errors. Despite the cares we take, the presence of random errors means that repeated measurements almost never have exactly the same magnitude. The collective difference between these measurements - observed values - and the estimated or expected value is called uncertainty. Uncertainty is conventionally written after the estimated or expected value.
1.9K
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals00:54

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

12.2K
The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
12.2K
Microbes and Climate Change01:27

Microbes and Climate Change

49
Microorganisms are pivotal agents in Earth's biogeochemical cycles, significantly influencing climate dynamics through their metabolic activities. These microbes modulate the levels of key greenhouse gases by both contributing to and helping mitigate climate change.Microbial Contributions to Greenhouse Gas EmissionsRising global temperatures accelerate microbial metabolism, which, in turn, speeds up the decomposition of organic matter. This process releases carbon dioxide (CO₂) through...
49
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error00:59

Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error

2.2K
An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on...
2.2K

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Communicating weather forecast uncertainty: Do individual differences matter?

Journal of experimental psychology. Applied·2018
Same author

Understanding clinical and non-clinical decisions under uncertainty: a scenario-based survey.

BMC medical informatics and decision making·2016
Same author

The use of uncertainty forecasts in complex decision tasks and various weather conditions.

Journal of experimental psychology. Applied·2015
Same author

Uncertainty forecasts improve weather-related decisions and attenuate the effects of forecast error.

Journal of experimental psychology. Applied·2011
Same author

Directed forgetting of autobiographical events.

Memory & cognition·2005

Related Experiment Video

Updated: Mar 28, 2026

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
06:10

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions

Published on: March 31, 2023

1.6K

Climate Projections and Uncertainty Communication.

Susan L Joslyn1, Jared E LeClerc1

  • 1Department of Psychology, University of Washington.

Topics in Cognitive Science
|December 24, 2015
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Including uncertainty estimates in climate change projections can increase public trust. This helps clarify scientific variability, addressing skepticism about climate change predictions.

Keywords:
Climate changeDecision makingExperimental psychologyJudgmentRisk perceptionUncertainty

More Related Videos

Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
09:07

Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations

Published on: September 16, 2015

9.5K
Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
12:44

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

8.8K

Related Experiment Videos

Last Updated: Mar 28, 2026

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
06:10

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions

Published on: March 31, 2023

1.6K
Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
09:07

Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations

Published on: September 16, 2015

9.5K
Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
12:44

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

8.8K

Area of Science:

  • Climate Science
  • Environmental Psychology
  • Risk Communication

Background:

  • Public skepticism towards climate change projections may stem from perceived scientific disagreement.
  • Variability in climate models can be misinterpreted as a lack of scientific consensus.
  • Communicating uncertainty is crucial for public understanding and trust in climate science.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate whether including uncertainty estimates in climate projections enhances public trust.
  • To explore factors influencing trust in climate change information, including demographics and prior beliefs.

Main Methods:

  • Two experiments were conducted to test the hypothesis.
  • Participants were presented with climate projections, some with and some without uncertainty estimates.
  • Data were analyzed considering variables such as age, gender, education, political affiliation, and initial climate change belief.

Main Results:

  • Including uncertainty estimates significantly increased participants' trust in climate projections.
  • The effect of uncertainty estimates on trust was explored across various demographic groups and initial belief levels.

Conclusions:

  • Communicating scientific uncertainty effectively can mitigate public skepticism regarding climate change.
  • Adding uncertainty estimates to climate projections is a valuable strategy for improving public trust and understanding.
  • Further research should consider the nuances of risk communication in climate science.