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Updated: Mar 27, 2026

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Using the Threat Probability Task to Assess Anxiety and Fear During Uncertain and Certain Threat
Published on: September 12, 2014
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Interpretation bias for uncertain threat: A replication and extension.
Mary E Oglesby1, Amanda M Raines1, Nicole A Short1
1Florida State University, 600 W College Ave, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA.
Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry
|January 8, 2016
Summary
Individuals with high intolerance of uncertainty (IU) interpret ambiguous situations more negatively. This study confirms a negative interpretation bias for uncertain information in those with high IU.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Clinical Psychology
- Cognitive Science
Background:
- Intolerance of uncertainty (IU) is a transdiagnostic variable in anxiety disorders.
- High IU may lead to interpreting ambiguous information as threatening.
- Interpretation biases in IU require further empirical investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate negative interpretation biases for uncertain information.
- To directly measure individuals' interpretations of ambiguous information.
- To test the hypothesis of a negative interpretation bias in individuals high in IU.
Main Methods:
- Two studies were conducted with undergraduate student samples (N=76 and N=31).
- Participants' interpretations of ambiguous information were directly measured.
- Interpretation biases for uncertain, negative, and benign information were assessed.
Main Results:
- Individuals high in IU interpreted ambiguous scenarios as more threatening.
- A significant negative interpretation bias for ambiguous information was found in both studies.
- No negative interpretation bias was observed for benign information.
Conclusions:
- This study provides the first direct evidence of a negative interpretation bias for uncertain information in individuals high in IU.
- Findings suggest that targeting IU within interpretation bias modification protocols could have significant public health benefits.
- Future research should replicate findings in clinical populations and incorporate behavioral assessments of IU.
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