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Published on: September 20, 2024
Use of a Cumulative Risk Scale to Predict Poor Intellectual and Academic Outcomes in Childhood Epilepsy
Brian C Kavanaugh1, Vanessa Ramos Scarborough2, Cynthia F Salorio3
1Emma Pendleton Bradley Hospital, Riverside, RI, USA Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Insights
A new tool, the Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale, effectively predicts poor outcomes in childhood epilepsy by assessing multiple risk factors. A score of 5 or higher indicates a high risk, aiding early intervention for affected children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Neurology
- Epilepsy Research
- Child Psychology
Background:
- Identifying individual risk factors for poor outcomes in childhood epilepsy is established.
- The predictive value of combined risk factors for functional outcomes remains less clear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate the Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale (ECRS) for quantifying cumulative risk in childhood epilepsy.
- To assess the association of the ECRS with intellectual and academic functioning.
Main Methods:
- The ECRS was developed using variables previously linked to functional outcomes in 156 clinic-referred children with epilepsy.
- Scale utility was evaluated by correlating ECRS scores with measures of intellectual and academic performance.
Main Results:
- All variables within the ECRS demonstrated significant associations with patient functioning.
- The ECRS Total Score, representing the cumulative effect of risk factors, showed the strongest correlation with cognitive and academic skills.
- An ECRS Total Score of 5 or greater exhibited optimal sensitivity and specificity for identifying high-risk individuals.
Conclusions:
- The Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale is a promising, data-driven tool for assessing cumulative risk in childhood epilepsy.
- The ECRS can aid in identifying children who may require additional support services for poor outcomes.
Abstract:
Discrete risk factors for poor outcomes in childhood epilepsy have been identified, but it is unclear whether the combined effect of several risk factors better predicts outcome. The Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale was developed to quantify cumulative risk for poor outcomes in childhood epilepsy. Participants included 156 clinic-referred children with epilepsy. The Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale was developed using variables previously associated with functional outcomes. Scale utility was examined through its association with intellectual and academic functioning. All Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale variables were significantly associated with functioning. The Total Score (ie, cumulative effect) was most strongly correlated with cognition and academic skills. A Total Score ≥ 5 had the best sensitivity and specificity for differentiating those at high risk for poor outcomes. The Epilepsy Cumulative Risk Scale shows promise as a practical, data-driven tool for quantification of cumulative risk for poor outcomes in childhood epilepsy and may be helpful in detecting those needing referral for additional services.
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