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No increased mortality in 109,000 first-degree relatives of celiac individuals
Louise Emilsson1, Alyshah Abdul Sultan2, Jonas F Ludvigsson3
1Primary Care Research Unit, Vårdcentralen Värmlands Nysäter, Värmland County, Sweden; Department of Health Management and Health Economy, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Norway.
Insights
First-degree relatives (FDRs) of individuals with celiac disease (CD) face a slightly increased risk of death. However, this elevated mortality risk is minimal and not considered clinically significant for individuals.
Area of Science:
- Gastroenterology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Celiac disease (CD) is linked to higher mortality rates in diagnosed individuals.
- The mortality risk for first-degree relatives (FDRs) of celiac patients remains largely unexamined.
- Understanding familial risk is crucial for comprehensive celiac disease management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate and quantify the mortality risk in first-degree relatives (FDRs) of individuals diagnosed with celiac disease (CD).
- To compare mortality rates between FDRs of CD patients and FDRs of a control group.
- To determine if familial association with CD increases overall or cause-specific mortality.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Swedish healthcare registries to identify FDRs of CD patients (Marsh grade III) and matched controls.
- Employed Cox regression analysis to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause, circulatory, and cancer mortality.
- Matched index CD cases with controls based on sex, age, county, and calendar year.
Main Results:
- Overall mortality was found to be slightly increased in FDRs of CD individuals (HR=1.02, 95% CI=1.00-1.04).
- This translates to an excess risk of 5.9 deaths per 100,000 person-years.
- No increased mortality risk was observed when follow-up was limited to the period after the index individual's diagnosis.
Conclusions:
- First-degree relatives (FDRs) of celiac disease (CD) patients exhibit a statistically significant, yet minimal, increase in overall mortality.
- The observed excess mortality risk is unlikely to have substantial clinical implications for individual FDRs.
- Further research may explore specific causes or contributing factors to this slight increase in mortality.
Background:
Several studies have shown an excess mortality in individuals with celiac disease (CD). However, it is unknown if also first-degree relatives (FDRs) to celiac patients are at increased risk of death.
Aim:
We aimed to assess mortality in FDRs to celiac patients.
Methods:
Individuals with CD were identified through biopsy reports (equal to Marsh grade III). Each celiac individual was matched on sex, age, county and calendar year with up to five control individuals. Through Swedish healthcare registries we identified all FDRs (father, mother, sibling, offspring) of CD individuals and controls. Through Cox regression we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality (all-cause death, circulatory, cancer and other).
Results:
We identified 109,309 FDRs of celiac individuals and 549,098 FDRs of controls. Overall mortality was increased in FDRs to celiac individuals (HR=1.02, 95%CI=1.00-1.04, p=0.03). This corresponded to an excess risk of 5.9 deaths per 100,000 person-years of follow-up. When limiting follow-up to time since celiac diagnosis in the index individual, we found no increased risk of death (HR=1.01; 95%CI=0.98-1.03).
Conclusion:
FDRs to individuals with CD are at increased risk of death. This excess risk is however minimal and unlikely to be of any clinical importance to the individual.
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