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Association between plasma phosphorus and renal outcome: A prospective cohort of patients majorly with
Damin Xu1, Jicheng Lv1, Jinwei Wang1
1Renal Division, Department of Medicine, Peking University First Hospital; Institute of Nephrology, Peking University; Key Laboratory of Renal Disease, National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People's Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Chronic Kidney Disease Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China.
Insights
Elevated blood phosphorus is a significant risk factor for adverse renal outcomes in Chinese patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Time-averaged phosphorus levels, rather than baseline levels, more strongly predict kidney disease progression and poor renal prognosis.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Biochemistry
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Inconsistent findings exist regarding the association between blood phosphorus and renal outcomes.
- Studies in Asian populations, particularly concerning chronic kidney disease (CKD) and glomerulonephritis, are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prospectively investigate the association between blood phosphorus levels and adverse renal outcomes.
- To examine the predictive value of baseline and time-averaged phosphorus in Chinese CKD patients.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1430 Chinese patients with CKD, primarily due to glomerulonephritis, was studied.
- Linear regression analyzed the relationship between phosphorus and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope.
- Cox regression assessed the association between phosphorus and composite renal outcomes (eGFR halving, end-stage renal disease, or death).
Main Results:
- Time-averaged plasma phosphorus was independently associated with a faster decline in eGFR.
- Increases in both baseline and time-average phosphorus correlated with higher risks of composite renal outcomes.
- Patients in the top quartile of time-average phosphorus had a significantly increased risk of adverse renal outcomes compared to the bottom quartile.
Conclusions:
- Plasma phosphorus is an independent risk factor for adverse renal outcomes in Chinese CKD patients with glomerulonephritis.
- Time-averaged phosphorus levels provide a stronger prediction of renal prognosis than baseline levels.
Aim:
Studies investigating the association between blood phosphorus and renal outcomes yielded inconsistent results, and studies from Asian population are extremely limited. We initiated the present cohort study, aiming to prospectively examine the association between blood phosphorus and adverse renal outcomes in a prospective chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohort of Chinese patients majorly with glomerulonephritis.
Methods:
A total of 1430 patients were involved in the study. Linear regression analyses were used to assess the relationship between phosphorus and the slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox regression analyses were used to assess the association between phosphorus and composite outcomes, which were defined as the presence of at least one of: eGFR halving, end stage renal disease, or death.
Results:
During follow-up for an average of 41.4 months, 196 patients developed composite outcomes. The time-average plasma phosphorus was independently associated with the slope of eGFR (β = -0.18, 95% CI: -4.42 to -2.19, P < 0.001). Each 1 mg/dL increases of baseline and time-average phosphorus were respectively associated with a 1.33 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09-1.63; P = 0.005) and 2.79 (95%CI: 2.21-3.52; P < 0.001) fold higher risk of composite outcomes. Compared with participants in the bottom quartile of time-average phosphorus, those in the top quartile were at increased risk of composite outcomes, with a hazard ratio of 6.52 (95% CI: 3.05-13.90; P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
Plasma phosphorus level is an independent risk factor of adverse renal outcomes in Chinese CKD patients majorly with glomerulonephritis. Compared with baseline value, time-average phosphorus has a stronger relationship with renal prognosis.
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