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Published on: August 18, 2015
Differences in the role of black race and stroke risk factors for first vs. recurrent stroke
George Howard1, Brett M Kissela2, Dawn O Kleindorfer2
1From the Departments of Biostatistics (G.H., L.A.M., S.E.J., J.D.R.) and Epidemiology (V.J.H.), UAB School of Public Health, Birmingham, AL; Department of Neurology (B.M.K., D.O.K.), School of Medicine, University of Cincinnati, OH; Department of Epidemiology (E.Z.S.), Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC; Department of Medicine (M.C.), University of Vermont College of Medicine, Burlington; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (C.S.M.), NIH, Bethesda, MD; and Department of Neurology (K.A.S.), UAB School of Medicine, Birmingham, AL. ghoward@uab.edu.
Insights
Black race significantly increases first stroke risk in younger individuals, but this disparity diminishes with age. This racial difference does not apply to recurrent stroke risk, where risk factors play a similar role for all.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide.
- Understanding disparities in stroke risk is crucial for targeted prevention strategies.
- Previous research suggests racial and age-related differences in stroke incidence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if black race and traditional cerebrovascular risk factors differentially impact first-time stroke events compared to recurrent stroke events.
- To analyze the interaction between age and race on the risk of first stroke versus recurrent stroke.
Main Methods:
- A longitudinal cohort study involving 29,682 black and white participants aged 45 years and older.
- Data collected on demographic factors (age, race, sex) and stroke risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, smoking, atrial fibrillation, etc.).
- Statistical analysis to estimate the association of these factors with first vs. recurrent stroke over an average 6.8-year follow-up.
Main Results:
- An age-by-race interaction was observed for first stroke risk: black participants had a significantly higher risk at age 45 compared to white participants, but this disparity disappeared by age 85.
- No significant racial disparity in the risk of recurrent stroke was found at any age.
- The association of common stroke risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, etc.) was similar for both first and recurrent stroke events.
Conclusions:
- The influence of age and black race on stroke risk is distinct for first-time events versus recurrent events.
- While race plays a significant role in first stroke risk, particularly at younger ages, its impact on recurrent stroke risk is minimal.
- Traditional stroke risk factors appear to play a comparable role in both first and recurrent stroke.
Objectives:
To assess whether black race and other cerebrovascular risk factors have a differential effect on first vs. recurrent stroke events.
Methods:
Estimate the differences in the magnitude of the association of demographic (age, back race, sex) or stroke risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, cigarette smoking, atrial fibrillation, left ventricular hypertrophy, or heart disease) for first vs. recurrent stroke from a longitudinal cohort study of 29,682 black or white participants aged 45 years and older.
Results:
Over an average 6.8 years follow-up, 301 of 2,993 participants with a previous stroke at baseline had a recurrent stroke, while 818 of 26,689 participants who were stroke-free at baseline had a first stroke. Among those stroke-free at baseline, there was an age-by-race interaction (p = 0.0002), with a first stroke risk 2.70 (95% confidence interval: 1.86-3.91) times greater for black than white participants at age 45, but no racial disparity at age 85 (hazard ratio = 0.91; 95% confidence interval: 0.70-1.18). In contrast, there was no evidence of a higher risk of recurrent stroke at any age for black participants (p > 0.05). The association of traditional stroke risk factors was generally similar for first and recurrent stroke.
Conclusion:
The association of age and black race differs substantially on first vs. recurrent stroke risk, with risk factors playing a similar role.
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