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[Spatial temporal distribution of mumps in Gansu, 2009-2013]
Dongpeng Liu1, Lei Meng1, Faxiang Gou1
1Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi = Zhonghua Liuxingbingxue Zazhi
|February 7, 2016
Summary
Mumps incidence in Gansu showed significant spatial clustering from 2009-2013. Hot spots were concentrated in the Hexi area, informing targeted mumps prevention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Spatial Statistics
- Public Health
Background:
- Mumps is a contagious viral illness with potential for outbreaks.
- Understanding the spatial and temporal distribution of mumps is crucial for effective control.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of mumps incidence in Gansu province.
- To identify high-risk areas (hot spots) and low-risk areas (cold spots) for mumps.
Main Methods:
- Utilized county-based mumps incidence data from 2009 to 2013.
- Applied spatial statistics, including global Moran's I and local G statistics.
- Performed spatial temporal analysis to assess risk factors.
Main Results:
- Mumps incidence exhibited significant spatial autocorrelation (P<0.001) across Gansu from 2009-2013.
- Hot spots were primarily located in the Hexi area, with low incidence in Longdong area.
- High incidence was strongly associated with the Hexi area (RR=3.05, P<0.001).
Conclusions:
- Confirmed the existence of spatial and spatial-temporal clustering of mumps in Gansu.
- Findings provide a basis for developing targeted mumps prevention and control measures in the region.
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