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Updated: Mar 26, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
[MODERN TRENDS IN THE MORTALITY OF THE POPULATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF TATARSTAN]
Abstract:
The analysis of total mortality coefficients on the example of 43 regions of the Republic of Tatarstan (RT) showed the significant spread of values from 9.0 to 22.2 per hundred in 2006, and from 9.0 to 18.4 per hundred--in 2013. In the dynamics there were observed divergent processes of the formation of the total mortality of the population (the stable level in two districts, the decline--in 29 districts and the gain--in 12 districts). In the framework of 43 districts of the RT there were identified the one with the consistently low level, 12--with a stable average levels of total mortality, 18--with consistently high levels, 11--with the positive trend of the transition from high levels into middle ones and the one--with a negative trend of the transition from middle levels to high levels of the total mortality. The achievement of the indicator value is planned only in three districts in the group of 13 districts with the low and middle level, and a unfavorable prognosis--in 30 districts of RT
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