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Software Design Challenges in Time Series Prediction Systems Using Parallel Implementation of Artificial Neural
Narayanan Manikandan1, Srinivasan Subha1
1School of Information Technology & Engineering, VIT University, Vellore, Tamil Nadu 632014, India.
Thescientificworldjournal
|February 17, 2016
Summary
This study introduces a hybrid methodology for predicting exchange rates by combining econometric time series models and Artificial Neural Networks. This approach enhances forecasting accuracy and performance for financial time series data.
Area of Science:
- Computer Science
- Data Science
- Financial Modeling
Background:
- Traditional software development faces challenges with predictive modeling, especially for time series data like currency exchange rates.
- Statistical models were initially used for financial forecasting, but Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have gained prominence in the last two decades for improved accuracy.
- Existing methods often struggle with integrating diverse data strengths for robust predictions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To address architectural design issues for performance enhancement in predictive software development.
- To propose an adaptive, hybrid methodology for predicting exchange rates.
- To evaluate the accuracy and performance of parallel algorithms within this new framework.
Main Methods:
- Vectorizing the strengths of multivariate econometric time series models.
- Integrating Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for enhanced predictive capabilities.
- Developing and testing a hybrid framework for exchange rate forecasting using parallel algorithms.
Main Results:
- The proposed hybrid methodology demonstrates improved performance in predicting exchange rates.
- Architectural design improvements lead to enhanced accuracy in time series forecasting.
- The framework effectively leverages parallel algorithms for computational efficiency.
Conclusions:
- The hybrid approach offers a significant advancement over traditional methods for financial time series prediction.
- This research provides a robust framework for accurate and efficient exchange rate forecasting.
- The integration of econometric models and ANNs presents a promising direction for predictive analytics.