Calreticulin variant stratified driver mutational status and prognosis in essential thrombocythemia

About 85% of patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) harbor one of three driver mutations: JAK2, calreticulin (CALR), and MPL; the remaining ( ∼15%) are wild type for all three mutations and are referred to as being "triple negative." Furthermore, CALR mutations in ET are structurally classified as type 1/type 1-like or type 2/type 2-like variants. The objective of the current study was to examine the impact of CALR mutation variant stratified driver mutational status on overall (OS), myelofibrosis-free (MFFS), thrombosis-free, and leukemia-free survival (LFS) in ET; 495 patients (median age 58 years; 61% females) with ET were fully annotated for the their driver mutational status: 321 (65%) harbored JAK2, 109 (22%) CALR, and 12 (2%) MPL mutations and 11% were triple-negative. Among the 109 CALR-mutated cases, 52% were classified as type 1/type 1-like and 48% as type 2/type 2-like. In univariate analysis, triple-negative patients displayed the best and MPL mutated the worst OS (P = 0.007); however, the difference in OS was no longer apparent on multivariable analysis that included age and sex as covariates (P = 0.5). LFS was also similar among the different mutational groups (P = 0.6) whereas MFFS was significantly shorter in MPL-mutated patients on both univariate and multivariable analyses (age-adjusted P = 0.02; HR 7.9, 95% CI 2.0-31.5). Also in multivariable analysis that included thrombosis history, age, and cardiovascular risk factors, the presence of JAK2 or MPL mutations was independently associated with higher risk of thrombosis (P = 0.02; HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-3.4). In conclusion, driver mutational status in ET does not appear to influence overall or LFS, even after CALR variant stratification. However, the presence of MPL mutations might be associated with a higher risk of fibrotic transformation and the presence of JAK2/MPL mutations with higher risk of thrombosis.