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Modeling the cost-effectiveness of infant vaccination with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in Germany
Alexander Kuhlmann1, J-Matthias Graf von der Schulenburg2
1Center for Health Economics Research Hannover (CHERH), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Otto-Brenner-Straße 1, 30159, Hanover, Germany. ak@ivbl.uni-hannover.de.
Insights
Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 13 (PCV13) is a cost-effective infant vaccination strategy compared to PCV10 in Germany. This holds true if PCV13 provides significant indirect health benefits, improving overall public health outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Vaccinology
- Health Economics
Background:
- Germany approved higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in 2009.
- Pneumococcal disease prevention in infants is a key public health concern.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) versus 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) for universal infant vaccination in Germany.
- To compare the impact of PCV13 and PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media.
Main Methods:
- A population-based Markov model simulated disease impact over 50 years.
- Included infant vaccination, herd effects, and replacement disease.
- Utilized German epidemiological data and sensitivity analyses for parameter uncertainty.
Main Results:
- PCV13 vaccination yielded an Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) of €9826/QALY (societal) and €3368/QALY (statutory health insurance).
- Results were sensitive to indirect vaccine effects.
- PCV13 demonstrated favorable cost-effectiveness from both societal and health insurance perspectives.
Conclusions:
- Universal infant vaccination with PCV13 is likely cost-effective compared to PCV10 in Germany.
- The cost-effectiveness is contingent on significant net indirect effects of PCV13.
- PCV13 represents a potentially valuable public health intervention for pneumococcal disease prevention.
Background:
In 2009, the European Medicines Agency granted approval for two higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of universal infant (<2 years old) vaccination with a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in comparison with a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in Germany.
Methods:
A population-based Markov model was developed to estimate the impact of PCV13 and PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), non-invasive pneumonia (PNE), and acute otitis media (AOM) over a time horizon of 50 years. The model included the effects of the historical vaccination scheme in infants as well as indirect herd effects and replacement disease. We used German epidemiological data to calculate episodes of IPD, PNE, and AOM, as well as direct and indirect effects of the vaccination. Parameter uncertainty was tested in univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
Results:
In the base-case analysis, the ICER of PCV13 versus PCV10 infant vaccination was EUR 9826 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained or EUR 5490 per life-year (LY) gained from the societal perspective and EUR 3368 per QALY gained or EUR 1882 per LY gained from the perspective of the German statutory health insurance. The results were particularly sensitive to the magnitude of indirect effects of both vaccines.
Conclusions:
Universal infant vaccination with PCV13 is likely to be a cost-effective intervention compared with PCV10 within the German health care system, if additional net indirect effects of PCV13 vaccination are significant.
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