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Published on: May 16, 2025
Response to methotrexate predicts long-term patient-related outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis
Dietmar Krause1, Bernadette Gabriel2, Gertraud Herborn3
1Department of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Ruhr-University, Bochum, Germany. gundi.krause@t-online.de.
Abstract:
This study was conducted to investigate the predictive value of the initial response to methotrexate (MTX) on long-term patient-related outcomes (PROs) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). All RA patients starting MTX treatment between 1980 and 1987 in our department were enrolled in a prospective observational study. After an average of 18 years, patient-related outcomes were assessed in three dimensions according to the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF). Statistical analyses employed multivariable models with baseline values for age, gender, disease duration, rheumatoid factor positivity, disease activity, response to MTX after 1 year and continuous use of MTX as covariates. The 271 patients enrolled had a mean disease duration of 8.5 years, a mean number of swollen joints of 18 (out of 32), and a mean erythrocyte sedimentation rate of 55 mm/h. After 18 years, PRO was available in 89 patients (33 %). A clinical improvement of at least 20 % 1 year after the initiation of MTX was associated with a favourable outcome in all three dimensions of the ICF, independent of continuation of MTX (p < 0.05). The initial response to MTX is an independent predictor of PRO in RA as assessed after an average of 18 years.
Insights
An early response to methotrexate (MTX) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) predicts long-term patient-related outcomes (PROs), regardless of continued MTX use. This finding highlights the importance of initial treatment effectiveness in managing RA progression.
Area of Science:
- Rheumatology
- Clinical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) management requires understanding factors influencing long-term patient-related outcomes (PROs).
- Methotrexate (MTX) is a cornerstone therapy for RA, but its long-term impact on PROs needs further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive value of the initial response to methotrexate (MTX) on long-term patient-related outcomes (PROs) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA).
- To assess whether early MTX efficacy predicts functional status and quality of life in RA patients over 18 years.
Main Methods:
- Prospective observational study of 271 RA patients initiating MTX between 1980-1987.
- PROs assessed after an average of 18 years using the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) framework.
- Multivariable models analyzed baseline characteristics and MTX response at 1 year as predictors of long-term PROs.
Main Results:
- A clinical improvement of ≥20% at 1 year post-MTX initiation was associated with favorable long-term PROs across all three ICF dimensions.
- This association remained significant regardless of continuous MTX use (p < 0.05).
- Initial MTX response independently predicted long-term PROs in RA patients after 18 years.
Conclusions:
- The initial response to methotrexate is a crucial independent predictor of long-term patient-related outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis.
- Early assessment of MTX efficacy can identify patients likely to experience sustained functional benefits.
- These findings emphasize the significance of early treatment response in RA prognosis.
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