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Published on: November 7, 2020
Factors Associated With Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Liver Transplantation Among a National Sample
L B VanWagner1,2, M Serper3, R Kang4
1Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
Insights
Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) affect 11% of liver transplant recipients, impacting survival. Pre-transplant atrial fibrillation and stroke significantly increase MACE risk, identifying high-risk candidates.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hepatology
- Transplantation Medicine
Background:
- Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) assessment post-liver transplantation (LT) lacks multicenter data.
- Understanding MACE risk factors is crucial for improving LT outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess factors associated with 30- and 90-day MACE after LT.
- To evaluate the impact of MACE on 1-year survival post-LT.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of an integrated database from University HealthSystem Consortium and Organ Procurement and Transplant Network (February 2002–December 2012).
- Multivariate Poisson regression used to identify MACE predictors.
- MACE defined as myocardial infarction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, cardiac arrest, pulmonary embolism, and/or stroke.
Main Results:
- MACE occurred in 8% (30-day) and 11% (90-day) of 32,810 LT recipients.
- Independent MACE predictors included age >65, alcoholic cirrhosis, NASH, elevated creatinine, baseline AF, and stroke.
- MACE was linked to significantly lower 1-year survival (79% vs. 88%).
Conclusions:
- MACE impacts 11% of LT recipients and negatively affects survival.
- Pre-LT atrial fibrillation and stroke are substantial MACE risk factors.
- Identifies high-risk LT candidates for closer cardiovascular monitoring.
Abstract:
Assessment of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after liver transplantation (LT) has been limited by the lack of a multicenter study with detailed clinical information. An integrated database linking information from the University HealthSystem Consortium and the Organ Procurement and Transplant Network was analyzed using multivariate Poisson regression to assess factors associated with 30- and 90-day MACE after LT (February 2002 to December 2012). MACE was defined as myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), cardiac arrest, pulmonary embolism, and/or stroke. Of 32 810 recipients, MACE hospitalizations occurred in 8% and 11% of patients at 30 and 90 days, respectively. Recipients with MACE were older and more likely to have a history of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), alcoholic cirrhosis, MI, HF, stroke, AF and pulmonary and chronic renal disease than those without MACE. In multivariable analysis, age >65 years (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 2.8, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.8-4.4), alcoholic cirrhosis (IRR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.2), NASH (IRR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.4), pre-LT creatinine (IRR 1.1, 95% CI 1.04-1.2), baseline AF (IRR 6.9, 95% CI 5.0-9.6) and stroke (IRR 6.3, 95% CI 1.6-25.4) were independently associated with MACE. MACE was associated with lower 1-year survival after LT (79% vs. 88%, p < 0.0001). In a national database, MACE occurred in 11% of LT recipients and had a negative impact on survival. Pre-LT AF and stroke substantially increase the risk of MACE, highlighting potentially high-risk LT candidates.
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