Overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer-what is clinically meaningful?

Klaus Fenchel1, Ludger Sellmann1, Wolfram C M Dempke1

  • 11 Medical School Hamburg (MSH), Hamburg, Germany ; 2 University Hospital of Grosshadern (LMU Munich, Haematology and Oncology), Munich, Germany ; 3 Medical Oncology Unit, Mönchengladbach, Germany.

Insights

Defining clinically meaningful outcomes in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) trials is crucial. A 20% improvement in overall survival (OS) or a 10-15% Quality-adjusted Time Without Symptoms of Toxicity (Q-TWiST) is considered significant.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Clinical Trial Design
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Molecularly targeted therapies (TKIs, monoclonal antibodies) and immunotherapies have improved outcomes for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
  • Clinical trials primarily aim to improve overall survival (OS) and quality of life (QoL) in NSCLC patients.
  • Current NSCLC treatments show only incremental improvements in OS, necessitating clear definitions of clinical meaningfulness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the criteria for defining clinically meaningful endpoints in NSCLC clinical trials.
  • To assess the significance of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) as trial endpoints.
  • To explore the utility of Quality-adjusted Time Without Symptoms of Toxicity (Q-TWiST) for measuring clinical benefit.

Main Methods:

  • Review of recommendations from regulatory bodies (e.g., FDA) and professional organizations (e.g., ASCO) regarding clinical benefit endpoints.
  • Analysis of suggested thresholds for clinically meaningful improvements in median OS (e.g., ≥20%).
  • Examination of the Q-TWiST analysis method to quantify meaningful differences in OS adjusted for toxicity and symptoms.

Main Results:

  • A relative improvement in median OS of at least 20% (3-4 months) is suggested as clinically meaningful for NSCLC.
  • Progression-free survival (PFS) remains a valid endpoint, particularly for palliation of symptoms like bone metastases.
  • The Q-TWiST method indicates a 10-15% difference in OS as clinically important.

Conclusions:

  • Defining clinically meaningful endpoints in NSCLC trials requires considering multiple factors beyond OS alone.
  • While OS is a standard endpoint, PFS and QoL metrics like Q-TWiST provide valuable insights into patient benefit.
  • These recommendations aim to guide expectations for clinical trial outcomes, encouraging higher standards for patient benefit.