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What Drives Indirect Land Use Change? How Brazil's Agriculture Sector Influences Frontier Deforestation
1Population and Studies Training Center, Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University.
Annals of the Association of American Geographers. Association of American Geographers
|March 18, 2016
Summary
Soybean expansion in Brazil (2000-2005) drove deforestation. While direct land use displacement is limited, regional land markets significantly contribute to forest loss, impacting agricultural expansion and beef prices.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Economics
- Environmental Science
- Ecology
Background:
- Brazil experienced significant agricultural expansion from 2000-2005, driven by high soybean returns.
- This expansion coincided with a rapid increase in deforestation, raising concerns about the agricultural sector's impact on forest loss.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the indirect drivers of land use change related to agricultural expansion in Brazil.
- To assess the role of soybean expansion in beef prices and land use displacement via migration.
- To analyze the impact of regional land markets on Amazon deforestation.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of agricultural expansion and deforestation trends.
- Examination of indirect land use change mechanisms, including price effects and migration.
- Field-level data collection in northern Mato Grosso and western Pará, Amazon.
Main Results:
- Soybean expansion's impact on deforestation is complex, with limited evidence for direct land use displacement via migration.
- Regional land markets play a significant role in driving deforestation, influencing agricultural land allocation.
- Indirect effects on beef prices may also contribute to deforestation pressures.
Conclusions:
- Tropical Amazon deforestation is not solely attributable to land use displacement caused by agricultural expansion.
- Regional land markets represent a critical, yet often overlooked, channel through which the agricultural sector drives deforestation.
- Further research is needed to fully understand the multifaceted relationship between agriculture, land markets, and forest conservation in the Amazon.
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