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Mathematical Validation and Credibility of Diagnostic Blocks for Spinal Pain
Andrew J Engel1, Nikolai Bogduk2
1*Affordable Pain Management, Chicago, Illinois, USA engel.andrew@gmail.com.
Background:
Diagnostic blocks are used in different ways for the diagnosis of spinal pain, but their validity has not been fully evaluated.
Methods:
Four clinical protocols were analyzed mathematically to determine the probability of correct responses arising by chance. The complement of this probability was adopted as a measure of the credibility of correct responses.
Results:
The credibility of responses varied from 50% to 95%, and was determined less by the agents used but more by what information was given to patients and if the agents were fully randomized for each block.
Conclusions:
Randomized, comparative local anesthetic blocks offer a credibility of 75%, but randomized, placebo-controlled blocks provide a credibility of 95%, and are thereby suitable as a criterion standard for diagnostic blocks.
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