Neopterin and interleukin-6 as predictors of recurrent atrial fibrillation

Available evidence suggests that inflammation may be associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). This prospective and observational study aimed to assess whether plasma neopterin (NPT) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels before and after electrical cardioversion (CV) predict AF recurrence.

The study was designed as a prospective observational trial. Blood samples were collected (24 hours before, 24 h after CV, and 7 days after CV) in 60 patients with a dual-chamber pacemakar and preserved left ventricular systolic function who underwent successful CV of persistent AF. All significant parameters associated with AF recurrence lasting ≥30 min and detected by pacemaker data logs were evaluated in multivariate logistic regression analysis. Echocardiography was performed 7 days after CV in patients with sinus rhythm. The control group included 17 subjects without AF.

The analysis included 51 patients who remained in sinus rhythm 7 days after CV. During 12 months of follow-up, AF recurred in 46 patients. Baseline IL-6 levels did not differ between the two groups, but baseline NPT levels were higher in the study group than in the control group (19±7 vs. 11±5 nmol/mL, p<0.001). NPT levels of ≥14.6 nmol/L at baseline and ≥13.3 nmol/L 7 days after CV separated the patients with AF recurrence from those without arrhythmia after CV. Only left atrial emptying fraction <38% was an independent predictor of AF recurrence (p=0.03), whereas NPT levels of ≥13.3 nmol/L 7 days after CV showed borderline statistical significance (p=0.07).

Increased NPT level was observed in patients with persistent AF. Neither baseline IL-6 and NPT levels nor their changes within 7 days after CV were predictive of AF recurrence. Further studies are needed to establish the prognostic significance of NPT in patients with AF.